First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on ad pepper media International N.V. (ISIN: NL0000238145). Analyst Dr. Karsten von Blumenthal reiterated his BUY rating and maintained his EUR 3.60 price target.
Final Q3 figures matched preliminary results. Revenue declined 15% y/y to €5.9m and EBITDA 66% to €410k. EBIT amounted to €138k versus €925k in Q3/21. The net result came in at €-120k (Q3/221: €556k). Both 9M and Q3 figures reflect a significantly worsening economic environment (increasing inflation, declining growth rates and now a looming recession). Falling real wages are curbing consumer spending and prompting companies to cut advertising budgets. We thus expect a weak Q4, but cost optimisation measures should result in positive EBITDA contributions from all three segments. Investors looking beyond the current recession will find value in APM, which boasts a very strong balance sheet and high operating leverage. An updated DCF model still yields a €3.60 price target. We confirm our Buy rating.