First Berlin Equity Research on 23.10.2024 initiated coverage on Telefonica Deutschland Holding AG (ISIN: DE000A1J5RX9/Bloomberg: O2D GR). Analyst Kevin Sheil placed a BUY rating on the stock, with a EUR 3.00 price target.
Abstract
We view the valuation impact on Telef?nica Deutschland from the 1&1 contract loss as a temporary set-back. We expect it will gradually be offset by a stabilising German Telecoms market, improving industry capital productivity, and the completion of the last vestiges of rate of return-influenced segmental regulation. Based on a two-pronged valuation approach using DCF valuation and peer group comparison for 2026E, when we see the likely point of maximum impact of the 1&1 loss, we reach a target price of €3 per share, equal to 43% upside. We start coverage with a Buy rating.
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