First Berlin Equity Research has published a research update on Knaus Tabbert AG (ISIN: DE000A2YN504). Analyst Ellis Acklin reiterated his BUY rating and decreased the price target from EUR 69.00 to EUR 54.00.
Abstract
An eventful week continued at Knaus Tabbert yesterday with news that CEO, Mr Wolfgang Speck, is stepping down from the management board on 31 October for “personal reasons”. This comes on the heels of the latest profit warning – the second downward adjustment in H2/24. KTA will continue to throttle down production to help its dealer network that is still struggling to finance its inventories. Sales are now expected to reach €1.3bn (old: €1.3bn to €1.4bn), and the EBITDA margin will “be significantly below the updated 17 July forecast (7% to 8%)”. The company also reiterated its commitment to whittle down its own stock levels and expects working capital release to drive good cash flows this year. Investors hit the bid on the news, and we reckon KTA will have to spend time in the forecasting sin bin, while it rebuilds its guidance credibility. We have lowered FBe to match the updated topline guide and now look for the 2024 EBITDA margin to land near 5.5% (old: 7.5%). An updated DCF model points to a €54 TP (old: €69), and we maintain our Buy rating.
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